Predictions for 2009

Friday, January 23, 2009

Predictions for 2009

I'm going to put it out here on the blog. As of 12/31/2009 this is where I think we'll be:

Unemployment: 10%

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 6800

Oil: $34/barrel

We're at the cusp of a paradigm shift and I don't think anybody knows precisely what will happen or how - but the Chinese curse, "May you live in interesting times," applies to the present.

1 comment:

Devin and Kelly said...: cant wait to see if what you says really happens.; January 23, 2009 at 1:59 PM

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Welcome to the Machine!

This blog has many elements and depending on your interests, may pique your imagination...or not. I urge you to be unreasonable. Reasonable people adapt themselves to the world. The unreasonable persist in trying to adapt the world to themselves, therefore all progress depends on unreasonable people. The more unreasonable you are, the more likely you are to enjoy this blog. All men dream, but not equally.

If you're a socialist or a Marxist, you'll find that I poke fun at your absurd notions of "good government" on a regular basis. So you might not wish to follow this blog because you'll be offended.

John Locke said, "One unerring mark of the love of truth is not entertaining any proposition with greater assurance than the proofs it is built upon will warrant." I like what Locke said. We can't theorize without adequate information because when we do we inevitably twist facts to suit theories rather than theories to suit facts. In this blog and in my life, I try to maintain this perspective.

Either you believe in our essential spark of shared divinity, or you succumb to our human insecurity. Either way your conscience lets you slice it, the main thing is to earnestly do what is right at the time.

This is My Journey.

Friday, January 23, 2009